Alan Magadan vs Matias SotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alan Magadan and Matias Soto have met 2 times since 2026; Matias Soto leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at San Luis Potosi Challenger in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Soto leads 2–0. Soto has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Magadan has taken 1 sets to Soto's 4. Their most recent meeting: Matias Soto won at Bogota Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Magadan | Soto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alan Magadan | Matias Soto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 68% | 26/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 9/31 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 18/59 | 27% | 17/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 9/17 | 62% | 18/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 15/35 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 5/15 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 20/21 | 89% | 32/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 72% | 26/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Magadan 0, Soto 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Magadan
💥 Big Hitter
Soto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 8, 2026
Bogota Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 2, 2026
San Luis Potosi Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Magadan | Soto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alan Magadan | Matias Soto | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 3 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 67% | 12/18 |
| 5 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Magadan | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.83 | 1.78 |
| ROI % | +0.2% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.03u | -2.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Magadan | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | — | 198 mi · 319 km |
| Route | USA → MEX | CZE → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Soto has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Magadan's 40%).
| Opponent | Magadan | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Alejandro Hernandez | W 46 60 64 | W 75 75 |
| Johan Alexander Rodriguez | W 75 75 | W 76 61 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | L 16 76 46 | L 16 16 |
| Peter Bertran | L 16 16 | W 76 60 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 67 36 | L 64 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Michael Zheng
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Stefan Kozlov
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Benjamin Thomas George
Granby challenger
Jul 12
Matias Soto
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 6
Marvin Moeller
Augsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Oleksii Krutykh
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Rudolf Molleker
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Felipe Meligeni Alves
M25 Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rafael Tosetto
M25 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Gabriel Tumasonis
M25 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 22
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogotá 5 challenger
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–64 matches
| Metric | Magadan | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 59% |
| Sets won | 48% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Magadan | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Magadan | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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