Alafia Ayeni vs Tiago CacaoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alafia Ayeni and Tiago Cacao have met 1 time since 2026; Tiago Cacao leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ayeni has taken 0 sets to Cacao's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tiago Cacao won at Porto Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ayeni | Cacao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alafia Ayeni | Tiago Cacao | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 23/33 | 69% | 24/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 7/24 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 17/57 | 38% | 24/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 14/22 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 16/28 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 74% | 17/23 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 78% | 25/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 75% | 24/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ayeni 0, Cacao 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ayeni
💥 Big Hitter
Cacao
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,349 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alafia Ayeni.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 31, 2026
Porto Challenger
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ayeni | Cacao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alafia Ayeni | Tiago Cacao | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 80% | 20/25 |
| 3 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 32% | 8/25 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 20% | 5/25 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 15 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/25 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ayeni | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–9 | 14–12 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | -25.4% | -11.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.80u | -2.91u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ayeni | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ayeni has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Cacao's 67%).
| Opponent | Ayeni | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Adrien Burdet | W 61 63 | W 64 63 |
| Carl Emil Overbeck | W 62 75 | L 36 75 16 |
| Unknown Player | W 61 64 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Michael Bassem Sobhy
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Kaylan Bigun
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Evan Zhu
San Diego 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Li Tu
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Carl Emil Overbeck
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Tiago Cacao
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Sergi Perez Contri
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Olle Wallin
Braga Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Milos Karol
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Anton Matusevich
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Robin Bertrand
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 22
Patrick Schoen
M25 Sintra · Semifinals
Sep 19
Alec Deckers
M25 Sintra · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Tiago Torres
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–65 matches
| Metric | Ayeni | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 54% |
| Sets won | 56% | 55% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ayeni | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ayeni | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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