Akira Santillan vs Bernard TomicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Akira Santillan and Bernard Tomic have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Nonthaburi 3 in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Santillan has taken 2 sets to Tomic's 2. Their most recent meeting: Bernard Tomic won at Shanghai Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Santillan | Tomic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Akira Santillan | Bernard Tomic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 40/52 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 40% | 10/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 22/84 | 41% | 24/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 31/48 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 14/27 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 45/48 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 40/48 | 68% | 19/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Santillan 1, Tomic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Santillan
💥 Big Hitter
Tomic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 8, 2026
Shanghai Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 15, 2024
Nonthaburi 3
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Santillan | Tomic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Akira Santillan | Bernard Tomic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 96% | 21/22 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 86% | 19/22 |
| 5 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 77% | 17/22 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 36% | 8/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 5% | 1/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Santillan | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–10 | 16–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.28 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -27.1% | +23.6% |
| Units P/L | -4.60u | +5.44u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Santillan | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 4 | 10 |
| Distance | 1,078 mi · 1,735 km | 1,578 mi · 2,540 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Santillan and Tomic posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Santillan | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Pavel Kotov | L 46 67 | L 67 67 |
| Ilya Ivashka | L 46 64 16 | L 46 64 26 |
| Kasidit Samrej | W 63 76 | L 57 67 |
| Masamichi Imamura | W 60 62 | W 64 36 64 |
| Antoine Ghibaudo | L 46 16 | L 16 36 |
| Mark Lajal | L 36 26 | W 46 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Yaroslav Demin
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Luca Castelnuovo
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Luka Pavlovic
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Alex Bolt
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Kaigaoge Kang
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Yaojie Zeng
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Matteo Arnaldi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Timofey Skatov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Terence Atmane
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Yuta Shimizu
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Fajing Sun
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fajing Sun
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Rigele Te
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–87 matches
| Metric | Santillan | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 57% |
| Sets won | 60% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Santillan | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Santillan | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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