Ajla Tomljanovic vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Ajla Tomljanovic
#103 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
9w35 meetings · sets 2–10
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#148 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
24wAjla Tomljanovic and Varvara Gracheva have met 5 times since 2019; Varvara Gracheva leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Moscow in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Gracheva leads 3–0. On clay courts Gracheva leads 2–0. Gracheva has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 2 sets to Gracheva's 10. Their most recent meeting: Varvara Gracheva won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 12/15 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 20% | 1/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 0, Gracheva 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
💥 Big Hitter
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Ajla Tomljanovic and Varvara Gracheva are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 7, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 13, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
May 25, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 15, 2022
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 16, 2019
Moscow
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | - |
| ROI % | +22.2% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.00u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tomljanovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Gracheva's 40%).
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 63 61 | L 67 26 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 63 61 | W 46 63 64 |
| Xin Yu Wang | W 63 61 | W 46 63 64 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 06 36 | L 46 06 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 06 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Semifinals
Jun 13
Dayana Yastremska
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Laura Siegemund
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Elena Rybakina
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–37 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 38% |
| Sets won | 54% | 36% |
| Games won | 51% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.