Ajla Tomljanovic vs Anastasia PotapovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Ajla Tomljanovic
#103 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
9w34 meetings · sets 6–3
🇷🇺Anastasia Potapova
#25 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Ajla Tomljanovic and Anastasia Potapova have met 4 times since 2020; Ajla Tomljanovic leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Tomljanovic leads 2–1. Tomljanovic has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Tomljanovic has taken 6 sets to Potapova's 3. Their most recent meeting: Ajla Tomljanovic won at Rothesay Classic - Birmingham (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomljanovic | Potapova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ajla Tomljanovic | Anastasia Potapova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 27% | 4/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 37% | 15/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 12/15 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomljanovic 2, Potapova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomljanovic
💥 Big Hitter
Potapova
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 22, 2024
Rothesay Classic - Birmingham
G Grass · Semifinals
Oct 25, 2021
Transylvania Open - Cluj-Napoca
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 23, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 12, 2020
St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomljanovic | Potapova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ajla Tomljanovic | Anastasia Potapova | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | +22.2% | -47.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.00u | -3.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | — | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Potapova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Tomljanovic's 30%).
| Opponent | Tomljanovic | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 62 | W 64 62 |
| Venus Williams | W 64 61 | W 63 63 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 63 61 | L 26 36 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 06 36 | L 67 26 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 64 16 67 | W 63 62 |
| Dalma Galfi | L 67 46 | W 57 62 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 06 | W 76 64 |
| Donna Vekic | L 63 16 46 | W 64 62 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 57 75 16 | L 76 26 36 |
| Kimberly Birrell | L 36 36 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tereza Valentova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Veronika Erjavec
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Camila Osorio
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Caty Mcnally
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Robin Montgomery
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Semifinals
Jun 13
Dayana Yastremska
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Venus Williams
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Suzan Lamens
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 10
Anna Kalinskaya
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–41 matches
| Metric | Tomljanovic | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 63% |
| Sets won | 54% | 58% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomljanovic | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomljanovic | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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