Aidan Mayo vs Colton SmithPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aidan Mayo and Colton Smith have met 2 times since 2024; Aidan Mayo leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Lincoln Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Mayo leads 2–0. Mayo has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mayo has taken 4 sets to Smith's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aidan Mayo won at Columbus Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mayo | Smith | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aidan Mayo | Colton Smith | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 20/27 | 67% | 18/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 13/21 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 20/48 | 36% | 19/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 9/23 | 41% | 14/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 10/26 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 21/24 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 60% | 18/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mayo 2, Smith 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mayo
💥 Big Hitter
Smith
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Aidan Mayo and Colton Smith are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 1, 2026
Columbus Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 8, 2024
Lincoln Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mayo | Smith | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aidan Mayo | Colton Smith | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mayo | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–9 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.68 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | -0.4% | -36.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.10u | -3.97u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mayo | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Smith has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Mayo's 33%).
| Opponent | Mayo | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Timo Legout | L 26 36 | L 36 36 |
| Stefan Kozlov | L 36 75 26 | W 64 62 |
| Andy Andrade | W 63 76 | W 63 46 63 |
| Rei Sakamoto | L 67 57 | L 46 46 |
| Christian Langmo | W 67 63 75 | W 63 63 |
| Roger Pascual Ferra | W 61 64 | L 64 26 46 |
| Andre Ilagan | L 67 76 36 | W 46 63 76 |
| Luka Pavlovic | L 16 63 67 | W 76 61 |
| Blaise Bicknell | L 57 62 36 | W 57 76 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Colton Smith
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Nikita Filin
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Sebastian Gorzny
San Diego 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Jordan Lee
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Ryan Seggerman
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger · Final
Aug 30
Luis Felipe Miguel
Kingston 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 29
Aidan Mayo
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Duncan Chan
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Timo Legout
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Stefan Kozlov
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hugo Gaston
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Jerome Kym
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Andrea Pellegrino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Felix Gill
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–54 matches
| Metric | Mayo | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 50% |
| Sets won | 58% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mayo | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mayo | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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