Aidan Kim vs Karl PolingPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aidan Kim and Karl Poling have met 2 times since 2025; Aidan Kim leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M25 Edwardsville IL in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Kim leads 2–0. Kim has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kim has taken 4 sets to Poling's 1. Their most recent meeting: Aidan Kim won at Lexington Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kim | Poling | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aidan Kim | Karl Poling | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 85% | 22/26 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 5/11 | 46% | 16/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 9/37 | 45% | 30/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 17/26 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 68% | 27/40 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | 40% | 14/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 24/26 | 73% | 24/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 22/26 | 55% | 18/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kim 1, Poling 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kim
👑 The Complete Package
Poling
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 281 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aidan Kim.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 2, 2026
Lexington Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 30, 2025
M25 Edwardsville IL
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kim | Poling | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aidan Kim | Karl Poling | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 2/2 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 2/2 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 2/2 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 1/2 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kim | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 2.64 |
| ROI % | -40.0% | -16.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.20u | -2.50u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kim | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 461 mi · 742 km |
| Route | — | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kim has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Poling's 50%).
| Opponent | Kim | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Johns | L 76 36 26 | L 26 67 |
| Unknown Player | W 63 61 | L 57 46 |
| Henry Searle | W 61 62 | W 76 36 63 |
| Quinn Vandecasteele | W 76 63 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Garrett Johns
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Dan Martin
Kingston 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Ronit Karki
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Edward Winter
Kingston 1 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Unknown Player
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Brownsburg Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Trey Hilderbrand
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Soon Woo Kwon
Lexington Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Patrick Zahraj
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Titouan Droguet
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Moez Echargui
St. Tropez Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Nikola Slavic
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Thomas Fancutt
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–67 matches
| Metric | Kim | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 48% |
| Sets won | 69% | 49% |
| Games won | 57% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kim | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kim | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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