Adrien Burdet vs Tiago CacaoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrien Burdet and Tiago Cacao have met 1 time since 2026; Tiago Cacao leads 1–0. Across all meetings Burdet has taken 0 sets to Cacao's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tiago Cacao won at M25 Sintra (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Burdet | Cacao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrien Burdet | Tiago Cacao | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 9/14 | 69% | 24/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 11/31 | 38% | 24/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 3/5 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 9/18 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 5/5 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 78% | 25/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 75% | 24/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Burdet 0, Cacao 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Burdet
⚙️ Grinder
Cacao
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 233 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 8, 2026
M25 Sintra
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Burdet | Cacao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrien Burdet | Tiago Cacao | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 80% | 20/25 |
| 3 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 32% | 8/25 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 20% | 5/25 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/25 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Burdet | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 14–12 |
| Avg odds | 4.25 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | +6.7% | -11.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.60u | -2.91u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Burdet | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cacao has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Burdet's 33%).
| Opponent | Burdet | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Artur Carvalho Rocha | W 63 62 | W 63 75 |
| Alafia Ayeni | L 16 36 | W 76 61 |
| Rafael Izquierdo Luque | L 26 26 | L 26 64 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sergio Callejon Hernando
M15 Pontevedra · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Hugo Car
M15 Pontevedra · 1st Round
Oct 7
Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Sintra · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Artur Carvalho Rocha
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Joshua Leon-Nestler
M25 Sintra · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Tiago Cacao
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alafia Ayeni
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Henry Bernet
M25 Lausanne · Semifinals
Aug 29
Sergi Perez Contri
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Olle Wallin
Braga Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Milos Karol
Braga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Anton Matusevich
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Robin Bertrand
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 22
Patrick Schoen
M25 Sintra · Semifinals
Sep 19
Alec Deckers
M25 Sintra · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Tiago Torres
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–65 matches
| Metric | Burdet | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 54% |
| Sets won | 47% | 55% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Burdet | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Burdet | Cacao |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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