Adrian Mannarino vs Stan WawrinkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Stan Wawrinka have met 4 times since 2015; Adrian Mannarino leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Miami in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Mannarino leads 3–1. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 8 sets to Wawrinka's 5. Their most recent meeting: Stan Wawrinka won at Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 35% | 13/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Wawrinka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Wawrinka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 23, 2024
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 15, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 3, 2022
Astana Open - Astana
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 29, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 3.00 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Mannarino and Wawrinka posted a 20% win rate.
| Opponent | Mannarino | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | L 46 67 | L 67 67 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | L 46 26 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 64 57 57 | L 76 67 67 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | W 57 76 76 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 36 63 16 | L 36 63 36 46 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 36 67 | L 26 46 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 36 | L 36 76 36 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 67 | L 46 67 |
| Arthur Gea | W 57 64 64 | W 46 63 36 75 76 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 36 36 | L 64 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Dalibor Svrcina
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva · 2nd Round
May 20
Raul Brancaccio
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva · 1st Round
May 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–51 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 45% |
| Sets won | 37% | 48% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
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