Adrian Mannarino vs Stan WawrinkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Stan Wawrinka have met 4 times since 2015; Adrian Mannarino leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Miami in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Mannarino leads 3–1. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 8 sets to Wawrinka's 5. Their most recent meeting: Stan Wawrinka won at Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 55% | 6/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Wawrinka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Wawrinka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 23, 2024
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 15, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 3, 2022
Astana Open - Astana
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 29, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 2.74 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 4 | — |
| Matches | 10 | — |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | — |
| Route | FRA → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mannarino has a higher win rate against shared opponents (30% vs Wawrinka's 20%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Flavio Cobolli | W 61 46 63 | L 46 76 67 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 76 36 76 | W 61 76 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 64 57 57 | L 67 67 06 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 46 67 | L 67 67 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 26 | L 46 26 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | W 57 76 76 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 36 63 16 | L 36 63 36 46 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 36 67 | L 26 46 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 36 | L 36 76 36 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 67 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Gustavo Heide
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Matteo Berrettini
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Dalibor Svrcina
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–54 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 34% |
| Sets won | 38% | 40% |
| Games won | 46% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
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