Adrian Mannarino vs Roger FedererPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Roger Federer have met 3 times since 2017; Roger Federer leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Basel in 2017 on hard. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 3 sets to Federer's 7. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at Wimbledon (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Federer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Roger Federer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Federer 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Federer
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
Both Adrian Mannarino and Roger Federer are 🎯 Baseliner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 606 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 11, 2021
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Jul 9, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 16
Oct 20, 2017
Basel
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | - |
| ROI % | -2.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Richard Gasquet
Wimbledon · Round of 64
Jul 11
Adrian Mannarino
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jul 11
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon · Quarterfinals
Jul 11
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon · Round of 16
Jul 11
Cameron Norrie
Wimbledon · Round of 32
Jul 11
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Halle · Round of 16
Jun 14
Ilya Ivashka
Halle · Round of 32
Jun 14
Dominik Koepfer
Roland Garros · Round of 32
Jun 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–51 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | - |
| Sets won | 37% | - |
| Games won | 47% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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