Adrian Mannarino vs Roger FedererPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Roger Federer have met 3 times since 2017; Roger Federer leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Basel in 2017 on hard. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 3 sets to Federer's 7. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at Wimbledon (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Federer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Roger Federer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Federer 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Federer
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 11, 2021
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Jul 9, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 16
Oct 20, 2017
Basel
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | - |
| ROI % | +20.8% | - |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 4 | — |
| Matches | 9 | — |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | — |
| Route | FRA → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Cameron Norrie
Wimbledon · Round of 32
Jul 11
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon · Round of 16
Jul 11
Richard Gasquet
Wimbledon · Round of 64
Jul 11
Adrian Mannarino
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jul 11
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Cameron Norrie
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Richard Gasquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–54 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | - |
| Sets won | 38% | - |
| Games won | 46% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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