Adrian Mannarino vs Rinky HijikataPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทAdrian Mannarino
#67 ยท 38 yrs ยท L
43 meetings ยท sets 2โ5

๐ฆ๐บRinky Hijikata
#85 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
3Adrian Mannarino and Rinky Hijikata have met 3 times since 2023; Rinky Hijikata leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport in 2023 on grass. On hard courts Hijikata leads 2โ0. Hijikata has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 2 sets to Hijikata's 5. Their most recent meeting: Rinky Hijikata won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 56% | 27/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 29% | 9/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 38% | 30/79 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 47% | 20/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 67% | 26/39 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 73% | 27/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Hijikata 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
๐ฏ Baseliner
Hijikata
โ๏ธ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฏ Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs โ๏ธ Grinder across 460 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Adrian Mannarino.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 19, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Feb 3, 2025
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jul 19, 2023
Infosys Hall of Fame Open - Newport
G Grass ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Hijikata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Rinky Hijikata | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ9 | 11โ8 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | +15.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | +2.98u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Hijikata has a higher win rate against shared opponents (30% vs Mannarino's 10%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Collignon | L 36 67 | W 36 76 76 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 57 76 76 | L 36 46 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 16 46 | L 62 36 26 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 67 46 | W 61 76 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 36 63 16 | L 67 63 75 46 36 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 36 | L 16 26 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 67 46 62 26 | W 46 75 76 |
| Arthur Fery | L 67 46 | L 67 36 |
| Tommy Paul | L 26 62 46 | L 64 36 57 46 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 36 | L 75 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 26
Raphael Collignon
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Darwin Blanch
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Luciano Darderi
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Gael Monfils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Jaume Munar
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 2
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 51โ83 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 59% |
| Sets won | 37% | 55% |
| Games won | 47% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Hijikata |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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