Adrian Mannarino vs Mathias BourguePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทAdrian Mannarino
#67 ยท 38 yrs ยท L
41 meeting ยท sets 2โ0
๐ซ๐ทMathias Bourgue
Unranked
68wAdrian Mannarino and Mathias Bourgue have met 1 time since 2024; Adrian Mannarino leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 2 sets to Bourgue's 0. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at Rennes (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Bourgue | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Mathias Bourgue | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | โ | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | โ | |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Bourgue 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
๐ฏ Baseliner
Bourgue
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ฏ Baseliner vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 9, 2024
Rennes
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ9 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | - |
| ROI % | -2.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 3 | โ |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Damir Dzumhur
Bordeaux ยท Round of 32
May 13
Antoine Cornut-Chauvinc
St. Brieuc ยท Round of 32
Oct 15
Jelle Sels
Mouilleron le Captif ยท Round of 32
Oct 2
Martin Sabas
Mouilleron le Captif ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 30
Jonathan Eysseric
Mouilleron le Captif ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Mae Malige
Saint-Tropez ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 15
Adrian Mannarino
Rennes ยท Round of 32
Sep 9
Robin Bertrand
Cassis ยท Round of 32
Sep 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 51โ51 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | - |
| Sets won | 37% | - |
| Games won | 47% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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