Adrian Mannarino vs Marcos GironPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Marcos Giron have met 4 times since 2021; Marcos Giron leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Murray River Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Giron leads 3–1. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 3 sets to Giron's 6. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Marcos Giron | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 49% | 23/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 79% | 15/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 54% | 14/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Giron 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Giron
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
Both Adrian Mannarino and Marcos Giron are 🎯 Baseliner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 606 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2025
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 14, 2024
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 10, 2024
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 3, 2021
Murray River Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Marcos Giron | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 2.52 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | -46.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | -5.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 737 mi · 1,186 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Giron has a higher win rate against shared opponents (30% vs Mannarino's 20%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 16 67 | W 64 64 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 16 46 | L 76 06 67 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 46 67 | W 64 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | L 67 64 63 67 26 |
| Nuno Borges | L 26 26 | W 76 62 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 57 76 76 | L 57 67 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 46 26 | L 63 57 67 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 16 | L 57 76 16 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 | L 76 46 67 |
| Yibing Wu | L 64 67 57 | L 57 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Corentin Moutet
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–52 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 44% |
| Sets won | 37% | 49% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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