Adrian Mannarino vs Marcos GironPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π«π·Adrian Mannarino
#83 Β· 38 yrs Β· L
44 meetings Β· sets 3β6

πΊπΈMarcos Giron
#88 Β· 33 yrs Β· R
6Adrian Mannarino and Marcos Giron have met 4 times since 2021; Marcos Giron leads 3β1. Their first meeting came at Murray River Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Giron leads 3β1. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 3 sets to Giron's 6. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Marcos Giron | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 52% | 26/50 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 47% | 14/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 67% | 18/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 52% | 14/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 1, Giron 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
π₯ Big Hitter
Giron
π― Baseliner
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π― Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2025
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Feb 14, 2024
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Feb 10, 2024
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Feb 3, 2021
Murray River Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Marcos Giron | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7β9 | 3β7 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | -63.9% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | -6.39u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 10 | 2 |
| Distance | 6,939 mi Β· 11,168 km | 1,092 mi Β· 1,758 km |
| Route | FRA β CHN | JPN β CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Mannarino and Giron posted a 20% win rate.
| Opponent | Mannarino | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | L 76 36 26 | L 76 06 67 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 16 16 | L 63 46 26 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 46 26 | L 63 36 36 76 16 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 46 67 | W 64 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 75 64 | L 67 64 63 67 26 |
| Nuno Borges | L 26 26 | W 76 62 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 57 76 76 | L 57 67 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 16 | L 57 76 16 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 | L 76 46 67 |
| Marin Cilic | L 36 26 | L 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 1st Round
Sep 24
Sebastian Baez
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round
Oct 8
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ignacio Buse
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 2
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 1st Round
Aug 24
Henrique Rocha
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 54β56 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 45% |
| Sets won | 38% | 49% |
| Games won | 46% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 3 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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