Adrian Mannarino vs Bernard TomicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Bernard Tomic have met 5 times since 2015; Bernard Tomic leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Acapulco in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Tomic leads 3–0. Mannarino has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Tomic leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 6 sets to Tomic's 8. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at Newport Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Tomic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Bernard Tomic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 58% | 18/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/46 | 42% | 23/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 14/32 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 62% | 18/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Tomic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🎯 Baseliner
Tomic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 11, 2025
Newport Challenger
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Apr 11, 2025
Mexico City Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 15, 2016
Acapulco
H Hard · Round of 16
Jul 26, 2015
Bogota
H Hard · Final
Feb 12, 2015
Acapulco
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Tomic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Bernard Tomic | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 71% | 10/14 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | -2.3% | +25.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.37u | +4.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 1,788 mi · 2,877 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Mannarino and Tomic posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Mannarino | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | W 64 62 | L 46 64 26 |
| Blaise Bicknell | W 67 62 62 | W 36 64 64 |
| Billy Harris | L 46 76 46 | W 64 67 62 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 36 46 | L 36 36 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 16 | L 63 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Learner Tien
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexis Galarneau
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Remy Bertola
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Edward Winter
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karen Khachanov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 28
Mark Lajal
Lincoln Challenger · Final
Jul 20
Spencer Johnson
Lincoln Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Matthew Forbes
Lincoln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
James McCabe
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–55 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 56% |
| Sets won | 37% | 54% |
| Games won | 47% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.