Adrian Mannarino vs Bernard TomicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Adrian Mannarino and Bernard Tomic have met 5 times since 2015; Bernard Tomic leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Acapulco in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Tomic leads 3–0. Mannarino has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Tomic leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mannarino has taken 6 sets to Tomic's 8. Their most recent meeting: Adrian Mannarino won at Newport Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mannarino | Tomic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Adrian Mannarino | Bernard Tomic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 8/30 | 40% | 10/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 41% | 24/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 16/34 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 68% | 19/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mannarino 0, Tomic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Tomic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 11, 2025
Newport Challenger
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Apr 11, 2025
Mexico City Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 15, 2016
Acapulco
H Hard · Round of 16
Jul 26, 2015
Bogota
H Hard · Final
Feb 12, 2015
Acapulco
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mannarino | Tomic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Adrian Mannarino | Bernard Tomic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 96% | 22/23 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 83% | 19/23 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 74% | 17/23 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 35% | 8/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 4% | 1/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 17–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | +24.6% |
| Units P/L | +3.32u | +5.91u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 4 |
| Matches | 10 | 11 |
| Distance | 6,939 mi · 11,168 km | 1,578 mi · 2,540 km |
| Route | FRA → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Mannarino and Tomic posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Mannarino | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Karen Khachanov | L 26 46 | W 62 64 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 62 | L 46 64 26 |
| Arthur Fery | L 67 46 | L 46 26 |
| Blaise Bicknell | W 67 62 62 | W 36 64 64 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 36 46 | L 36 36 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 36 36 16 | L 63 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Flavio Cobolli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alejandro Tabilo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Juncheng Shang
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Matteo Arnaldi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Timofey Skatov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Terence Atmane
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Yuta Shimizu
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Fajing Sun
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fajing Sun
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Rigele Te
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–58 matches
| Metric | Mannarino | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 57% |
| Sets won | 38% | 54% |
| Games won | 46% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mannarino | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mannarino | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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