Abedallah Shelbayh vs Andrea GuerrieriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Olbia Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 12 ยท 8:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.80 or shorter, Andrea Guerrieri has won 32 of 42 (76%). The price implied 59%, so Andrea Guerrieri has beaten it by 17 points.
At 1.92 or longer, Abedallah Shelbayh has won 7 of 11 (64%). The price implied 42%, so Abedallah Shelbayh has beaten it by 22 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Andrea Guerrieri meets Abedallah Shelbayh in the first round of the Olbia Challenger on October 12. The Italian is ranked 165th, while Shelbayh arrives without a ranking. Both players will compete on hard court, with Guerrieri returning after an 11-day layoff and Shelbayh coming in fresh off a busy stretch of eight matches in two weeks.
The two have never played. Guerrieri has won 6 of his last 10 matches overall but dropped 3 of his last 5, while Shelbayh has maintained steadier form at 60% over both his last five and last ten. Against common opponents, Guerrieri defeated both Daniil Glinka and Oriol Roca Batalla; Shelbayh lost to those same players. On hard courts, Guerrieri has a 75% record from his recent sample compared to Shelbayh's 60%.
Both players operate as counterpunchers who thrive on reaction and angles rather than aggression. Guerrieri's comfort on hard surfaces contrasts with Shelbayh's lower conversion rate on the surface, though Shelbayh's recent consistency offers a different kind of threat. The match will turn on whether Guerrieri's superior form and surface record translate into control, or whether Shelbayh's compact schedule and reactive style can disrupt an opponent shaking off rust.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shelbayh | Guerrieri | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Abedallah Shelbayh | Andrea Guerrieri | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 18/28 | 65% | 40/62 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 5/13 | 20% | 5/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 15/41 | 31% | 27/87 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 11/24 | 52% | 26/50 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 71% | 22/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 47% | 14/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 25/28 | 98% | 49/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 18/28 | 80% | 40/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shelbayh
๐ช Counterpuncher
Guerrieri
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Abedallah Shelbayh and Andrea Guerrieri are ๐ช Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Shelbayh and Guerrieri have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shelbayh | Guerrieri | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Abedallah Shelbayh | Andrea Guerrieri | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 61% | 11/18 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 6/18 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Shelbayh | Guerrieri |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15โ10 | 10โ4 |
| Avg odds | 2.09 | 2.51 |
| ROI % | +5.6% | +21.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.39u | +3.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shelbayh | Guerrieri |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 4 |
| Distance | 2,418 mi ยท 3,891 km | 793 mi ยท 1,276 km |
| Route | USA | FRA โ POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Guerrieri has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Shelbayh's 50%).
| Opponent | Shelbayh | Guerrieri |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Glinka | L 67 64 36 | W 06 63 64 |
| Alexander Donski | W 63 57 63 | W 64 16 61 |
| Billy Harris | W 64 76 | W 67 75 63 |
| Oriol Roca Batalla | L | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Glinka
Villena Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Damir Dzumhur
Villena Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
David Jorda Sanchis
Villena Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Dylan Dietrich
Columbus Challenger ยท Final
Oct 4
Mitchell Krueger
Columbus Challenger ยท Semifinals
Oct 3
Aidan Mayo
Columbus Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Daniil Ostapenkov
Columbus Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Li Tu
Columbus Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 29
August Holmgren
Porto Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Anton Matusevich
Porto Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 29
Jesper de Jong
St. Tropez Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Francesco Maestrelli
St. Tropez Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 21
Alex de Minaur
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Aziz Dougaz
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Joel Schwaerzler
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
August Holmgren
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 41โ88 matches
| Metric | Shelbayh | Guerrieri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 70% |
| Sets won | 63% | 63% |
| Games won | 54% | 55% |
