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Head-to-Head

Abedallah Shelbayh vs Andrea GuerrieriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Upcoming match

Tournament
Olbia Challenger
Level
ATP Challenger Tour
Round
1st Round
Surface
Hard
Date & time
October 12 ยท 8:00 AM ET

Book odds

Andrea Guerrieri1.851.80
Abedallah Shelbayh1.861.92

Set spread

Guerrieri -1.52.82
Shelbayh +1.51.37

Game spread

Guerrieri -0.51.84
Shelbayh +0.51.87
GuerrieriClay-court specialist (57%)ShelbayhHard-court specialist (73%)

Record at prices like this

Andrea Guerrieri1.80implies 59%won 76%+17 pts

At 1.80 or shorter, Andrea Guerrieri has won 32 of 42 (76%). The price implied 59%, so Andrea Guerrieri has beaten it by 17 points.

Abedallah Shelbayh1.92implies 42%won 64%+22 pts

At 1.92 or longer, Abedallah Shelbayh has won 7 of 11 (64%). The price implied 42%, so Abedallah Shelbayh has beaten it by 22 points.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Andrea Guerrieri meets Abedallah Shelbayh in the first round of the Olbia Challenger on October 12. The Italian is ranked 165th, while Shelbayh arrives without a ranking. Both players will compete on hard court, with Guerrieri returning after an 11-day layoff and Shelbayh coming in fresh off a busy stretch of eight matches in two weeks.

The two have never played. Guerrieri has won 6 of his last 10 matches overall but dropped 3 of his last 5, while Shelbayh has maintained steadier form at 60% over both his last five and last ten. Against common opponents, Guerrieri defeated both Daniil Glinka and Oriol Roca Batalla; Shelbayh lost to those same players. On hard courts, Guerrieri has a 75% record from his recent sample compared to Shelbayh's 60%.

Both players operate as counterpunchers who thrive on reaction and angles rather than aggression. Guerrieri's comfort on hard surfaces contrasts with Shelbayh's lower conversion rate on the surface, though Shelbayh's recent consistency offers a different kind of threat. The match will turn on whether Guerrieri's superior form and surface record translate into control, or whether Shelbayh's compact schedule and reactive style can disrupt an opponent shaking off rust.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months

IndicatorShelbayhGuerrieri
Wins in straight sets64%65%
Wins a set when losing38%20%
Goes to a deciding set37%31%
Covers โˆ’1.5 sets as favorite46%52%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog63%71%
Tiebreak sets won53%47%
Wins after taking set 189%98%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 164%80%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Shelbayh

๐Ÿชƒ Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance
vs

Guerrieri

๐Ÿชƒ Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

Both Abedallah Shelbayh and Andrea Guerrieri are ๐Ÿชƒ Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Shelbayh and Guerrieri have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days

OutcomeShelbayhGuerrieri
1 or more100%92%
3 or more61%46%
5 or more33%23%
10 or more0%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days

MetricShelbayhGuerrieri
W-L15โ€“1010โ€“4
Avg odds2.092.51
ROI %+5.6%+21.4%
Units P/L+1.39u+3.00u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricShelbayhGuerrieri
Countries12
Events32
Matches94
Distance2,418 mi ยท 3,891 km793 mi ยท 1,276 km
RouteUSAFRA โ†’ POR

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months

Guerrieri has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Shelbayh's 50%).

OpponentShelbayhGuerrieri
Daniil Glinka
L
67
64
36
W
06
63
64
Alexander Donski
W
63
57
63
W
64
16
61
Billy Harris
W
64
76
W
67
75
63
Oriol Roca Batalla
L
W
64
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Shelbayh
LWWLWWWW
L

Daniil Glinka

Villena Challenger ยท Quarterfinals

627
64
36

Oct 9

W

Damir Dzumhur

Villena Challenger ยท 2nd Round

75
36
63

Oct 8

W

David Jorda Sanchis

Villena Challenger ยท 1st Round

64
63

Oct 7

L

Dylan Dietrich

Columbus Challenger ยท Final

36
26

Oct 4

W

Mitchell Krueger

Columbus Challenger ยท Semifinals

62
62

Oct 3

W

Aidan Mayo

Columbus Challenger ยท Quarterfinals

767
75

Oct 2

W

Daniil Ostapenkov

Columbus Challenger ยท 2nd Round

61
75

Oct 1

W

Li Tu

Columbus Challenger ยท 1st Round

36
62
63

Sep 29

Guerrieri
LWLWLWWW
L

August Holmgren

Porto Challenger ยท 2nd Round

57
16

Oct 1

W

Anton Matusevich

Porto Challenger ยท 1st Round

64
46
60

Sep 29

L

Jesper de Jong

St. Tropez Challenger ยท 2nd Round

63
687
627

Sep 24

W

Francesco Maestrelli

St. Tropez Challenger ยท 1st Round

63
647
63

Sep 21

L

Alex de Minaur

U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round

26
26
46

Sep 2

W

Aziz Dougaz

U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round Qualifying

62
64

Aug 27

W

Joel Schwaerzler

U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying

36
64
61

Aug 26

W

August Holmgren

U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying

63
647
62

Aug 24

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 41โ€“88 matches

MetricShelbayhGuerrieri
Matches won68%70%
Sets won63%63%
Games won54%55%