ITF M · Futures 2026
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Playing styles and historical archetype record
Chen
⚙️ Grinder
Kawahashi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,082 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Xing Dao Chen plays Yuta Kawahashi.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chen | Kawahashi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 8.43 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -35.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -2.10u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
0
Chen
1
Kawahashi
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Chen and Kawahashi posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Chen | Kawahashi |
|---|---|---|
| Ryusuke Horiuchi | W 75 61 | W 64 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Chen | Kawahashi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.9% | 58.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 54.4% | 72.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 41.9% | 51.3% |
| Aces / Match | 0.4 | 3.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.6 | 3.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 35.3% | 48% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.6% | 36% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.4% | 51.8% |
| BP Converted % | 49.4% | 42.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 3 | 24 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24 | 33 |
| Net Pts Won % | 100% | 83.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 45% | 49.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 22% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Match summary
Xing Dao Chen meets Yuta Kawahashi on hard court at the Futures 2026 tournament on June 23. Kawahashi, ranked 682nd, brings significantly more tour experience than Chen, who sits at 1336th. The two have crossed paths once before, with Kawahashi taking that encounter.
Chen has won 2 of his last 10 matches and arrives on the back of a loss six days ago. Kawahashi has not played in three weeks but holds a 13-7 record on hard courts overall; his form over his last 10 matches runs at 40%, matching his recent five-match sample. Both players are coming off losses in their most recent outings.
Chen grinds from the baseline and relies on consistency to wear opponents down; on hard courts, however, his record stands at 7-13. Kawahashi operates as a counterpuncher who thrives on reading pace and constructing points off the return. The match will test whether Chen can sustain enough pressure to override Kawahashi's timing and court sense, while Kawahashi must stay patient enough to capitalize on Chen's shorter rally windows on a surface that typically shortens points.
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