Xing Dao Chen vs Yuta KawahashiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Xing Dao Chen and Yuta Kawahashi have met 2 times since 2025; Yuta Kawahashi leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Hong Kong 2 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Kawahashi leads 2–0. Kawahashi has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Chen has taken 1 sets to Kawahashi's 4. Their most recent meeting: Yuta Kawahashi won at M15 Wuning (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dao Chen | Kawahashi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Xing Dao Chen | Yuta Kawahashi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 6/8 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 3/20 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 18% | 5/28 | 33% | 18/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 43% | 16/37 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/6 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 6/8 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 6/8 | 66% | 23/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dao Chen 0, Kawahashi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Chen
🛡️ The Spoiler
Kawahashi
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
🛡️ The Spoiler vs 🧱 The Wall is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 122 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 23, 2026
M15 Wuning
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 6, 2025
M15 Hong Kong 2
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Chen | Kawahashi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Xing Dao Chen | Yuta Kawahashi | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chen | Kawahashi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 3.50 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -51.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -5.63u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chen | Kawahashi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kawahashi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Chen's 38%).
| Opponent | Chen | Kawahashi |
|---|---|---|
| Hanyi Liu | L 26 16 | L 46 36 |
| Qian Sun | L 16 67 | L 63 36 06 |
| Yuta Tomida | L 36 26 | L 26 26 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | L 16 26 | L 26 26 |
| Ryusuke Horiuchi | W 75 61 | W 64 61 |
| Ryusuke Horiuchi | W 75 61 | W 64 61 |
| Ignasi Forcano | W 63 62 | W 63 36 64 |
| Evan Zhu | L 26 36 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hanyi Liu
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Sheng Tang
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jul 8
Yuta Tomida
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jul 1
Yuta Kawahashi
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jun 23
James Van Herzeele
M15 Luan · Round of 32
Jun 3
James Van Herzeele
M15 Luan · 1st Round
Jun 3
Yaojie Zeng
M15 Luan · 2nd Round
May 28
Ryusuke Horiuchi
M15 Luan · 1st Round
May 27
Qian Sun
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round
Aug 12
Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 28
Ryotaro Taguchi
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 21
Hanyi Liu
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Wuning · Quarterfinals
Jun 26
Arvid Nordquist
M15 Wuning · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Xianfeng Chen
Futures 2026
Jun 23
Xing Dao Chen
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–55 matches
| Metric | Chen | Kawahashi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 29% | 55% |
| Sets won | 31% | 55% |
| Games won | 46% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chen | Kawahashi |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chen | Kawahashi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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