ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 128 · Mutua Madrid Open
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaubas
🧱 The Wall
Baez
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🧱 The Wall vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,466 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Vilius Gaubas plays Sebastian Baez.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaubas | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–8 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 2.64 |
| ROI % | +1.6% | -24.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.28u | -4.15u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
0
Gaubas
1
Baez
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaubas | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 10/19 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 5 or more | 32% | 6/19 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Gaubas's 20%).
| Opponent | Gaubas | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Titouan Droguet | L 64 36 36 | L 46 46 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 63 26 26 | L 75 36 57 |
| Cristian Garin | L 63 36 46 | W 76 16 75 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 26 62 67 | W 64 63 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 76 26 64 | L 61 16 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Gaubas | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63% | 66.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.4% | 63.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49% | 45.9% |
| Aces / Match | 3.8 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59.5% | 55.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.7% | 31.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.9% | 48.8% |
| BP Converted % | 41% | 49.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.1 | 14.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 31.7 | 26 |
| Net Pts Won % | 59.1% | 55.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.4% | 47.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Hamad Medjedovic
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Stefano Travaglia
Atkinsons Monza Open · Round of 32
Apr 6
Sebastian Baez
Tiriac Open presented by UniCredit Bank · Round of 32
Mar 31
Abdullah Shelbayh
Montemar ENE Construccion · Round of 32
Mar 24
Alejandro Moro Canas
VII CHALLENGER COSTA CALIDA REGION DE MURCIA · Round of 32
Mar 17
Tomas Machac
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Carlos Alcaraz
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 7
Stan Wawrinka
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 64
Apr 6
Titouan Droguet
Tiriac Open presented by UniCredit Bank · Round of 16
Apr 3
Vilius Gaubas
Tiriac Open presented by UniCredit Bank · Round of 32
Mar 31
Matchup overview
Vilius Gaubas and Sebastian Baez face off in the Round of 128 at Mutua Madrid Open on Clay.
Vilius Gaubas leads 0-1 over 1 previous meeting.
Vilius Gaubas is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Hamad Medjedovic (Apr 11).
Sebastian Baez is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Tomas Machac (Apr 14).
Model consensus currently favors Sebastian Baez with 53.1% confidence.
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