ITF M · Futures 2026
Sign up to see the pick
Free trial available. Unlock our prediction, win probability, and summary for every match.
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lapalu
🏃 Pusher
Scaglia
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🧱 The Wall archetype wins about 68% vs 🏃 Pusher across 374 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Mathieu Scaglia here.
The Wall players often use elite returner and low unforced errors to pressure the pusher's extreme retrieval. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lapalu | Scaglia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.98 |
| ROI % | - | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.80u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
First career meeting
Lapalu and Scaglia have never faced each other on tour.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Lapalu and Scaglia posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Lapalu | Scaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Luca Staeheli | L 36 63 26 | L 63 67 06 |
| Benjamin Pietri | L 26 06 | L 46 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Lapalu | Scaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.1% | 67.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 50% | 58.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.4% | 39% |
| Aces / Match | 0 | 2.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4 | 1.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 50% | 60.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.7% | 33.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.9% | 47.3% |
| BP Converted % | 33.3% | 42.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 45.1% | 45.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 40% | 43% |
Last five matches per player
Match summary
Valentin Lapalu meets Mathieu Scaglia on June 23 at a Futures event on outdoor hard court. The two have never faced each other. Lapalu ranks 1165, while Scaglia sits at 1111.
Scaglia has won 6 of his last 10 matches overall, including three wins in his past five outings. Lapalu is in a rougher stretch, recording two wins across his last 10 and one win in his last five. Both players fell to Benjamin Pietri and Luca Staeheli in recent weeks. Scaglia last played four days before this fixture; Lapalu took five days off after his most recent match.
Lapalu operates as a defensive baseline player who uses consistency and shot tolerance to wear down opponents. His hard court record stands at 6-8 overall. Mathieu Scaglia constructs points methodically from the back of the court and rarely rushes his shots, posting a 10-10 hard court mark. The match will test whether Scaglia's steadier recent form and controlled tempo can withstand Lapalu's retrieval and patience in extended rallies.
Get $25 free
New accounts only. Create a Kalshi account and predict match outcomes.
Claim offerShare this match