Mathieu Scaglia vs Valentin LapaluPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mathieu Scaglia and Valentin Lapalu have met 1 time since 2026; Mathieu Scaglia leads 1–0. Across all meetings Scaglia has taken 2 sets to Lapalu's 1. Their most recent meeting: Mathieu Scaglia won at M15 Monastir (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Scaglia | Lapalu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mathieu Scaglia | Valentin Lapalu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 11/20 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 5/17 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 14/37 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 3/12 | 0% | 0/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 12/22 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 4/11 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 90% | 9/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 11/21 | 50% | 5/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Scaglia 0, Lapalu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Scaglia
🧱 The Wall
Lapalu
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The ⚙️ Grinder archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 318 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Valentin Lapalu.
Grinder players often use relentless consistency and deep court positioning to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 24, 2026
M15 Monastir
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Scaglia | Lapalu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mathieu Scaglia | Valentin Lapalu | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 59% | 10/17 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 5 or more | 35% | 6/17 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Scaglia | Lapalu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–8 | 3–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.17 | 3.85 |
| ROI % | +20.4% | -48.4% |
| Units P/L | +3.46u | -5.32u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Scaglia | Lapalu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POR → FRA | SWE → FRA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Scaglia and Lapalu posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Scaglia | Lapalu |
|---|---|---|
| Jaume Casas Blasi | W 67 63 62 | W 46 76 62 |
| Luca Staeheli | L 63 67 06 | L 36 63 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pierre Delage
M15 Cap d'Agde · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Jaume Casas Blasi
M15 Cap d'Agde · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Jaume Casas Blasi
M15 Cap d'Agde · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf
M15 Cap d'Agde · 1st Round
Aug 25
Pavel Lagutin
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Abdulhamid Mubarak
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Maxwell Mckennon
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 19
Pablo Perez Navarro
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Oscar Jose Gutierrez
M15 Cap d'Agde · 1st Round
Aug 25
Karl Friberg
M15 Malmo · 1st Round
Aug 12
Lucas Marionneau
M15 Dublin · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Arvid Nordquist
M15 Dublin · 1st Round
Jul 29
Axel Garcian
M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 1st Round
Jul 8
Guillaume Dalmasso
M25 Ajaccio · 1st Round
Jul 1
Mathieu Scaglia
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jun 24
Cesar Bouchelaghem
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jun 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 24–37 matches
| Metric | Scaglia | Lapalu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 46% |
| Sets won | 51% | 46% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Scaglia | Lapalu |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Scaglia | Lapalu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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