ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Nur-Sultan 2
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Karlovskiy
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Tomas Machac here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Machac | Karlovskiy |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 3.56 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | +8.4% | -44.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.92u | -1.34u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Machac
0
Karlovskiy
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Machac | Karlovskiy |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.8% | 73.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67% | 66% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.7% | 44% |
| Aces / Match | 4.1 | 2.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 0 |
| Break Points Saved % | 53.5% | 61.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.8% | 24.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.8% | 52.9% |
| BP Converted % | 44.6% | 51.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 30.1 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33.1 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 77.3% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.1% | 48% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 40% |
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Zizou Bergs
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 24
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Cameron Norrie
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 24
Francisco Comesana
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 23
Matchup overview
Tomas Machac and Evgeny Karlovskiy face off in the Round of 32 at Nur-Sultan 2 on Hard.
Tomas Machac leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Tomas Machac is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexander Zverev (May 27).
Evgeny Karlovskiy is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Robin Catry (May 18).
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