ATP Masters 1000 · Quarterfinals · ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Alcaraz
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Tomas Machac and Carlos Alcaraz are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,218 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Machac | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 5–1 |
| Avg odds | 3.56 | 1.20 |
| ROI % | +8.4% | -13.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.92u | -0.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Machac
0
Alcaraz
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Machac's 50%).
| Opponent | Machac | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 46 26 26 | W 64 76 67 67 75 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 64 64 63 | W 64 63 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 26 76 67 | W 63 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 36 | W 76 64 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 26 64 61 | W 61 63 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 16 76 36 | L 67 36 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 06 61 46 | W 62 64 61 |
| Joao Fonseca | W 76 62 63 | W 64 64 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | W 64 64 63 | W 62 63 |
| Tommy Paul | W 26 63 63 | W 76 64 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Machac | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.8% | 61.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67% | 71.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.7% | 55.4% |
| Aces / Match | 4.1 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 53.5% | 43.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.8% | 42.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.8% | 57.7% |
| BP Converted % | 44.6% | 51.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 30.1 | 24 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33.1 | 29.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 77.3% | 65.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.1% | 56.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Zizou Bergs
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 24
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Cameron Norrie
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 24
Francisco Comesana
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 23
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Match summary
Carlos Alcaraz, ranked number 2, will face Tomas Machac, ranked number 47, in the Round of 16 of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell on April 15th. The match takes place on outdoor clay, a surface that typically favors players with strong baseline games and movement. This is their second meeting overall, with Machac holding a 1-0 head-to-head record against Alcaraz from their prior encounter.
The rivalry between Carlos Alcaraz and Tomas Machac remains relatively fresh given their limited history. Their single previous meeting suggests Machac has experience playing against Alcaraz's style, though circumstances and form fluctuate between matches. Machac will look to draw on that victory while Alcaraz seeks to even the series.
Alcaraz has been in excellent form recently, winning 80% of his matches over his last five outings and 70% over his last ten. Tomas Machac has shown more inconsistency, recording a 60% win rate over five matches and 50% over ten. Both players competed within the last day, indicating they're well within their competitive rhythms.
On clay, Carlos Alcaraz holds a strong 90% win rate with 18 victories against just 2 losses. Tomas Machac's clay record stands at 55%, reflecting his reliance on heavy hitting rather than the sustained baseline exchanges clay demands. Alcaraz plays a complete game with excellent court coverage, while Machac relies on power and aggressive shot-making.
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