ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Lexus Nottingham Challenger
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Samuel
⚔️ The Gladiator
Overbeck
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,418 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Carl Emil Overbeck here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Samuel | Overbeck |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 1.33 |
| ROI % | -14.4% | -70.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.87u | -2.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Samuel
0
Overbeck
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Samuel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Overbeck's 33%).
| Opponent | Samuel | Overbeck |
|---|---|---|
| Raul Brancaccio | L 75 16 46 | L 76 16 26 |
| Tomas Curras Abasolo | W 60 63 | W 63 64 |
| Liam Broady | W 63 63 | L 06 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Samuel | Overbeck |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.4% | 61% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.4% | 74.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.2% | 52.6% |
| Aces / Match | 4.1 | 6.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.4% | 73.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29.2% | 41.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.1% | 50.8% |
| BP Converted % | 49.1% | 58% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.5 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 36.5 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 38.1% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.8% | 56.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Round of 16
Jun 24
Matteo Arnaldi
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Quentin Halys
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Matchup overview
Toby Samuel and Carl Emil Overbeck face off in the Round of 32 at Lexus Nottingham Challenger on Hard.
Toby Samuel leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Toby Samuel is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Jun 25).
Carl Emil Overbeck is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Thijs Boogaard (Jun 19).
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