Titouan DroguetvsJacob Fearnley

May 12, 2026C Clay

Model Prediction

Archetype Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Droguet

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Fearnley

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,425 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Titouan Droguet here.

Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Droguet	Fearnley
W-L	10–5	3–5
Avg odds	1.61	1.94
ROI %	+6.9%	-37.8%
Units P/L	+1.04u	-3.02u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Head-to-Head

First career meeting

Droguet and Fearnley have never faced each other on tour.

Common Opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Fearnley has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Droguet's 43%).

Opponent	Droguet	Fearnley
Aleksandar Kovacevic	W 46 76 64	W 26 62 63
Roberto Bautista Agut	W 61 16 61	W 75 62 57 64
Damir Dzumhur	L 63 57 26	W 63 63
Tallon Griekspoor	W 76 76	W 63 67 76
Luca Van Assche	L 46 46	W 36 62 63
Kyrian Jacquet	L 76 36 36	L 67 61 36
Yannick Hanfmann	L 46 63 36	W 64 62

Mechanics

Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days

Stat	Droguet	Fearnley
Serve
1st Serve In %	60.8%	62.7%
1st Serve Pts Won %	66.6%	69.6%
2nd Serve Pts Won %	48.1%	49.2%
Aces / Match	5.3	7.4
Double Faults / Match	2.7	3.8
Break Points Saved %	47%	68.4%
Return
1st Return Pts Won %	25.5%	33.5%
2nd Return Pts Won %	38.4%	56.6%
BP Converted %	32.9%	49.4%
Rally
Winners / Match	23.7	24.6
Unforced Errors / Match	32.7	28
Net Pts Won %	61.8%	60.6%
Total Pts Won %	45.1%	52%
Surface (Clay)
Clay Win %	67%	67%