ATP Challenger Tour · Semifinals · Santiago
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Buse
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,829 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Thiago Monteiro here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Monteiro | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 13–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | +8.3% | +21.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.50u | +4.60u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Monteiro
1
Buse
Sep 25, 2025
Lisbon
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 15, 2025
Santiago
C Clay · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Buse has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Monteiro's 43%).
| Opponent | Monteiro | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | L 63 46 57 | W 63 36 63 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 67 16 | W 57 63 64 |
| Francesco Passaro | W 76 63 | W 57 75 64 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 76 06 | W 62 75 |
| Vilius Gaubas | W 16 62 63 | W 62 26 76 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | L 46 36 | L 46 46 |
| Daniel Merida | W 63 61 | W 67 62 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Monteiro | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.5% | 59.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68% | 71.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.7% | 50.9% |
| Aces / Match | 4.8 | 2.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.7 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 47.7% | 59.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37% | 33.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.6% | 51% |
| BP Converted % | 42.8% | 45.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23 | 26.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33.5 | 31.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 70.5% | 73.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.4% | 51.8% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 67% | 63% |
Last five matches per player
Franco Agamenone
Bosphorus Challenger Cup · Quarterfinals
May 21
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Bosphorus Challenger Cup · Round of 32
May 19
Pol Martin Tiffon
Bosphorus Challenger Cup · Round of 16
May 13
Andy Andrade
Zagreb Open · Round of 32
May 13
Andrej Nedic
Zagreb Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 11
Vit Kopriva
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · Round of 16
Jun 24
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · Round of 32
Jun 23
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Matchup overview
Thiago Monteiro and Ignacio Buse face off in the Semifinals at Santiago on Clay.
Thiago Monteiro leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Thiago Monteiro is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Franco Agamenone (May 21).
Ignacio Buse is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Vit Kopriva (Jun 24).
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