ATP 250 · Round of 16 · St. Petersburg
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fritz
🤖 Servebot
Paul
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 3,362 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Taylor Fritz here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fritz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.06 | 1.56 |
| ROI % | -71.2% | +2.5% |
| Units P/L | -3.56u | +0.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
4
Fritz
4
Paul
Feb 20, 2026
Delray Beach Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 19, 2024
Delray Beach
H Hard · Finals
Mar 3, 2023
Acapulco
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 28, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Nov 10, 2021
Stockholm
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 28, 2021
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Round of 16
Nov 12, 2017
Champaign
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 8, 2017
Winnetka
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fritz's 60%).
| Opponent | Fritz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 76 75 | W 63 62 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 67 36 | W 26 63 63 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 76 62 | W 64 62 |
| Reilly Opelka | W 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Joao Fonseca | W 63 67 75 | L 26 36 |
| Sebastian Korda | W 67 64 76 | L 46 36 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 76 67 57 | W 46 63 64 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 63 | W 46 64 76 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 76 57 36 | L 67 46 57 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 63 57 | W 61 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Fritz | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.1% | 64.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.9% | 67.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54% | 50.7% |
| Aces / Match | 9 | 3.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.7% | 42.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 23.6% | 32.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 38.6% | 49.2% |
| BP Converted % | 9.4% | 39% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.8 | 24.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 20 | 33.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 67.5% | 75.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.2% | 50.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 33% | 100% |
Last five matches per player
Nishesh Basavareddy
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Alexei Popyrin
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 20
Jiri Lehecka
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 16
Mar 16
Reilly Opelka
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Alex Michelsen
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 32
Mar 9
Matchup overview
Taylor Fritz and Tommy Paul face off in the Round of 16 at St. Petersburg on Hard.
Taylor Fritz leads 4-4 over 8 previous meetings.
Taylor Fritz is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Nishesh Basavareddy (May 26).
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 29).
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