ATP Masters 1000 · Quarterfinals · ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tsitsipas
💥 Big Hitter
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 8,421 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Stefanos Tsitsipas plays Reilly Opelka.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 2.56 |
| ROI % | -32.6% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.26u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Tsitsipas
2
Opelka
Apr 15, 2025
Barcelona
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 14, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 20, 2020
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Opelka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Tsitsipas's 29%).
| Opponent | Tsitsipas | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | L 67 67 | L 67 36 |
| Tomas Machac | L 46 67 | W 76 67 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 76 | W 76 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 46 57 | L 67 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 63 64 | L 63 57 16 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 46 67 | W 76 67 63 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | L 76 36 46 | L 46 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Tsitsipas | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.9% | 69.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.1% | 78.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.5% | 50.4% |
| Aces / Match | 5.3 | 10.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 66.4% | 33.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.2% | 24% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.4% | 36.7% |
| BP Converted % | 34.3% | 10.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 27 | 20 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.6 | 25 |
| Net Pts Won % | 81.3% | 77.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.5% | 49.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Alexandre Muller
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Learner Tien
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 13
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 9
Tomas Machac
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Federico Cina
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 8
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Jack Draper
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 8
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 64
Mar 6
Matchup overview
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Reilly Opelka face off in the Quarterfinals at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati on Hard.
Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Stefanos Tsitsipas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Matteo Arnaldi (May 27).
Reilly Opelka is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Federico Cina (May 26).
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