ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · Mutua Madrid Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tsitsipas
💥 Big Hitter
Merida
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,816 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Stefanos Tsitsipas here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 1.91 |
| ROI % | -32.6% | +1.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.26u | +0.34u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Tsitsipas
0
Merida
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Merida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Tsitsipas's 33%).
| Opponent | Tsitsipas | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kypson | W 36 76 76 | W 36 63 76 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 63 67 46 | W 67 63 61 |
| Valentin Royer | L 36 26 | L 36 57 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Tsitsipas | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.9% | 65.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.1% | 66.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 43.5% | 45.9% |
| Aces / Match | 5.3 | 2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 66.4% | 53.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.2% | 30.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.4% | 53.5% |
| BP Converted % | 34.3% | 39.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 27 | 23.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.6 | 29.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 81.3% | 74.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.5% | 48.8% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 45% | 65% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
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Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Learner Tien
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May 13
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 9
Tomas Machac
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Martin Damm
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Henrique Rocha
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Final
Jun 7
Andrea Pellegrino
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Semifinals
Jun 6
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Liam Broady
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 16
Jun 3
Match summary
Stefanos Tsitsipas meets Daniel Merida in the Round of 32 at the Mutua Madrid Open on April 27, a clay court encounter between two mid-ranked players who have yet to face each other. Tsitsipas holds a ranking of 80, while Merida sits at 102. Both players arrive with recent match activity, having competed three times in the past two weeks.
Merida has built stronger momentum heading into the fixture. The Spanish player won 4 of his last 5 matches and carries a three-match winning streak, while Tsitsipas has won only 2 of his last 10 and is riding a two-match streak after recent losses to Fabian Marozsan and Valentin Royer. On clay in recent play, Merida holds a 65% win rate across 20 matches; Tsitsipas stands at 60% from 20 contests.
Tsitsipas is a baseline player who works from the back of the court, relying on depth and consistency from the ground. Merida operates as a defensive specialist, built to weather pace and construct points through patience and court positioning. Clay surface records show both players function effectively on the dirt, though the test for Tsitsipas will be maintaining his rhythm against a player who absorbs pace and moves well laterally.
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