ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dostanic
🪃 Counterpuncher
Rybakov
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Stefan Dostanic and Alex Rybakov are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 3,556 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dostanic | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 2.44 |
| ROI % | -16.9% | +1.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.53u | +0.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Dostanic
1
Rybakov
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Dostanic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Rybakov's 0%).
| Opponent | Dostanic | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Yibing Wu | L 16 64 36 | L 67 26 |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | L 57 62 | L 26 06 |
| Christian Langmo | W 63 67 64 | L 67 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Dostanic | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64% | 64.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.8% | 70.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.4% | 43.5% |
| Aces / Match | 2.6 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 50.8% | 52.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35% | 28.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.1% | 54.7% |
| BP Converted % | 44.1% | 41.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15.3 | 19.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 31.8 | 30.9 |
| Net Pts Won % | 67.7% | 70.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.3% | 48.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 42% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Pedro Sakamoto
Kosice Open 2026 · Round of 32
May 26
Max Alcala Gurri
CAME CUP 2026 CITTA' DI CERVIA · Round of 16
May 20
Chris Rodesch
Zagreb Open · Round of 32
May 13
Francesco Forti
CAME CUP 2026 CITTA' DI CERVIA · Round of 32
May 9
Daniel Elahi Galan
Savannah Challenger · Round of 16
Apr 15
Kilian Feldbausch
Savannah Challenger · Round of 32
Apr 21
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Tallahassee Tennis Challenger · Round of 16
Apr 15
Stefan Dostanic
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 16
Apr 9
Stefan Kozlov
Tallahassee Tennis Challenger · Round of 32
Apr 8
Martin Damm
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open · Round of 32
Apr 8
Match summary
Stefan Dostanic, ranked 333rd, will face Alex Rybakov, ranked 348th, in the Round of 16 of the Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open on outdoor clay. The two players will meet for the second time on the professional circuit after Rybakov won their first encounter.
Dostanic and Rybakov have only played once before, with Rybakov taking that match. This will be a chance for either player to establish momentum in their head-to-head record on the surface.
Dostanic has found his rhythm recently, posting a 60 percent win rate over his last five matches and his last ten matches. He comes into this match with a one-match winning streak and just two days of rest. Rybakov has struggled more in the same windows, winning just 40 percent of his last five matches and 30 percent of his last ten, though he also carries a one-match winning streak into the tournament.
On clay specifically, Rybakov has the more established track record at 45 percent, compared to Dostanic's 33 percent. Dostanic tends to be a disruptive presence in matches, while Rybakov adapts his game across different court surfaces. How each player's style meshes with the clay court will be a key factor in determining the match's direction.
Share this match
