Grand Slam · Round of 16 · Australian Open
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Wawrinka
⚙️ Grinder
Medvedev
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 3,258 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Daniil Medvedev here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Wawrinka | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | -56.9% | +26.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.55u | +4.49u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
2
Wawrinka
4
Medvedev
Feb 25, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships
H Hard · Round of 16
Feb 3, 2025
Rotterdam
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 22, 2022
Metz
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 27, 2020
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 4, 2019
US Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 4, 2017
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Wawrinka's 11%).
| Opponent | Wawrinka | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper de Jong | L 36 63 36 46 | W 75 62 76 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 64 61 | W 16 64 75 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 67 67 | W 62 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 36 36 | W 63 62 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 16 64 46 | W 62 67 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 46 76 46 | W 63 64 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 57 57 | W 64 60 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 46 67 | W 64 62 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 26 | W 64 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Wawrinka | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 58.3% | 65.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.2% | 69.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.8% | 52.5% |
| Aces / Match | 5 | 3.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.7% | 52.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 27.5% | 33.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.6% | 54.2% |
| BP Converted % | 43.4% | 37.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.3 | 21.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 36 | 27.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 73% | 70.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.4% | 51.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 75% |
Last five matches per player
Jesper de Jong
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 13
Raul Brancaccio
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 9
Stefano Travaglia
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 6
Sebastian Ofner
Open Aix Provence Crédit Agricole · Round of 32
Apr 28
Adam Walton
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Jannik Sinner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Martin Landaluce
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 11
Matchup overview
Stan Wawrinka and Daniil Medvedev face off in the Round of 16 at Australian Open on Hard.
Stan Wawrinka leads 2-4 over 6 previous meetings.
Stan Wawrinka is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jesper de Jong (May 25).
Daniil Medvedev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Adam Walton (May 26).
Share this match
