WTA 500 · Quarterfinals · Guangzhou
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Paolini
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 293 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Sofia Kenin plays Jasmine Paolini.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kenin | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 1–0 |
| Avg odds | 2.07 | 1.52 |
| ROI % | -49.0% | +52.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.96u | +0.52u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
3
Kenin
1
Paolini
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Kenin's 50%).
| Opponent | Kenin | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 76 64 | W 76 61 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 26 63 75 | W 36 62 64 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 63 76 | L 57 36 |
| Iva Jovic | L 57 57 | L 26 67 |
| Taylor Townsend | L 36 06 | W 63 16 62 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 67 63 26 | W 57 75 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kenin | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.5% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 62.4% | 61.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47% | 48% |
| Aces / Match | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.4 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46% | 56.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32% | 37% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53% | 51% |
| BP Converted % | 48.8% | 41.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.8% | 49.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Sofia Kenin and Jasmine Paolini face off in the Quarterfinals at Guangzhou on Hard.
Sofia Kenin leads 3-1 over 4 previous meetings.
Sofia Kenin is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Peyton Stearns (May 24).
Jasmine Paolini is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Solana Sierra (May 27).
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