WTA 250 · Round of 16 · Austin
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Stephens
⚙️ Grinder
Watson
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 60% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,630 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Heather Watson here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Stephens | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 3.74 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -68.2% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.41u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
4
Stephens
2
Watson
Feb 27, 2023
Austin
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 6, 2021
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 128
Mar 21, 2016
Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Jun 22, 2015
Eastbourne
G Grass · Round of 16
May 25, 2015
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Jan 12, 2015
Hobart
H Hard · Round of 16
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Stephens | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.6% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 48.7% | 57.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.8% | 50% |
| Aces / Match | 0.8 | 1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.2% | 33.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 25.1% | 37.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 39.4% | 44.4% |
| BP Converted % | 49.1% | 25% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 40.1% | 45.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Sloane Stephens and Heather Watson face off in the Round of 16 at Austin on Hard.
Sloane Stephens leads 4-2 over 6 previous meetings.
Sloane Stephens is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sara Bejlek (May 25).
Heather Watson is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aoi Ito (Apr 27).
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