ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Shymkent Challenger 2
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fomin
🛡️ The Spoiler
Sels
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,459 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jelle Sels here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fomin | Sels |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.28 | 3.03 |
| ROI % | +44.8% | -53.9% |
| Units P/L | +6.27u | -4.31u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Fomin
0
Sels
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fomin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Sels's 0%).
| Opponent | Fomin | Sels |
|---|---|---|
| Andrej Nedic | W 46 61 64 | L 16 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Fomin | Sels |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59.5% | 59.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.4% | 69.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 56.7% | 52.9% |
| Aces / Match | 5.8 | 4.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.1 | 2.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 43.5% | 68.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.2% | 36.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.4% | 45.3% |
| BP Converted % | 55% | 47.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24 | 22 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.2 | 29.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 57.1% | 63.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53% | 51.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 100% | 25% |
Last five matches per player
Sergey Fomin
Shymkent Challenger 2 · Round of 32
Apr 28
Antoine Ghibaudo
Shymkent Challenger 1 · Quarterfinals
Apr 23
Tomasz Berkieta
Shymkent Challenger 1 · Round of 32
Apr 20
Andrej Nedic
Memorijal Mile Moralic - Split Open Jolly Autoline · Round of 32
Mar 23
Kyrian Jacquet
Zadar Open · Round of 32
Mar 16
Match summary
Sergey Fomin meets Jelle Sels in the Round of 32 at the Shymkent Challenger 2 on April 28, an outdoor clay court event. Fomin arrives ranked 359th and riding a five-match winning streak after playing nine times in the past two weeks. Sels, ranked 447th, comes off a loss and has played only twice since mid-April.
The two have never faced each other. Fomin has won 1 of his last 5 matches and 8 of his last 10, while Sels has won only 1 of 5 and 3 of 10. Both players defeated or lost to Andrej Nedic recently, with Fomin coming away with the victory.
Fomin's strength lies in disrupting opponents' rhythms and turning points through unorthodox positioning and angles. Sels operates as a counterpuncher who waits for openings and attacks shorter balls. On clay, Fomin has posted a 60% win rate in his recent sample; Sels sits at 35%. The match will hinge on whether Sels can construct points patiently enough against an opponent whose comfort comes from breaking down structure.
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