ATP 250 · Semifinals · Parma
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Korda
🤖 Servebot
Paul
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 3,362 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Sebastian Korda here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Korda | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.80 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | +86.3% | -2.2% |
| Units P/L | +3.45u | -0.39u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
5
Korda
2
Paul
Feb 22, 2026
Delray Beach Open
H Hard · Final
Jun 22, 2024
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Semifinals
Jun 14, 2024
's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Sep 1, 2022
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Sep 28, 2021
San Diego
H Hard · Round of 32
May 24, 2021
Parma
C Clay · Semifinals
Jan 4, 2021
Delray Beach
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Korda and Paul posted a 63% win rate.
| Opponent | Korda | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Casper Ruud | W 46 62 62 | L 64 76 46 67 57 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 64 46 46 | W 26 63 63 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 75 61 | W 75 46 76 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 63 57 64 | L 67 46 57 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 57 | W 61 62 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 76 46 67 | W 64 63 |
| Adam Walton | W 75 63 | W 76 63 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 63 62 | L 75 46 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Korda | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.2% | 64.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67% | 67.7% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.7% | 50% |
| Aces / Match | 3.8 | 3.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 52.9% | 40.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 22.6% | 32.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50% | 47.8% |
| BP Converted % | 45.7% | 44% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21.3 | 23.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.8 | 32.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.4% | 75.1% |
| Total Pts Won % | 46.8% | 49.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 0% | 73% |
Last five matches per player
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 16
Mar 16
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 8
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 64
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 128
Mar 5
Matchup overview
Sebastian Korda and Tommy Paul face off in the Semifinals at Parma on Clay.
Sebastian Korda leads 5-2 over 7 previous meetings.
Sebastian Korda is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Martin Landaluce (Mar 16).
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 29).
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