ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Estoril
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,477 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Marin Cilic here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.33 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -26.9% | -27.5% |
| Units P/L | -4.04u | -2.75u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Baez
0
Cilic
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cilic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Baez's 43%).
| Opponent | Baez | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 06 | L 26 63 16 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 16 26 | L 46 16 46 |
| Marcos Giron | W 61 64 | W 75 64 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 26 | W 64 61 |
| David Goffin | W 61 63 | W 76 75 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 36 62 75 | W 75 63 |
| Jack Draper | L 26 26 12 | W 64 63 16 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Baez | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.5% | 60.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.3% | 71.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.2% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 2.1 | 6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 56.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37% | 28.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.9% | 46.6% |
| BP Converted % | 54% | 40% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 13.3 | 18.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.5 | 27.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 55.7% | 76.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.3% | 49.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 43% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Sebastian Baez and Marin Cilic face off in the Round of 16 at Estoril on Clay.
Sebastian Baez leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Sebastian Baez is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Molcan (Jun 7).
Marin Cilic is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ugo Humbert (Jun 16).
Share this match
