ATP 500 · Finals · Rio de Janeiro
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🧱 The Wall
Navone
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 3,176 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Mariano Navone here.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -30.0% | +19.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.50u | +3.66u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Baez
0
Navone
Feb 19, 2025
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 25, 2024
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Finals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Navone has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Baez's 30%).
| Opponent | Baez | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Molcan | W 64 62 | W 36 62 63 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 | L 36 62 46 61 67 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 62 57 26 02 | L 46 46 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 76 | W 64 64 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 36 46 | W 64 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 57 36 | L 62 26 57 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 60 16 46 | W 57 76 75 |
| Valentin Royer | L 26 36 | W 62 76 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 26 | L 64 67 16 |
| Marcos Giron | W 61 64 | L 64 57 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Baez | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.3% | 66.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.3% | 64.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.1% | 41.5% |
| Aces / Match | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.8% | 53.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.7% | 37.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.1% | 52.2% |
| BP Converted % | 54.3% | 45.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15.6 | 21.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 23.5 | 39.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 58.5% | 72.1% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.9% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 43% | 68% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Sebastian Baez and Mariano Navone face off in the Finals at Rio de Janeiro on Clay.
Sebastian Baez leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Sebastian Baez is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Molcan (Jun 7).
Mariano Navone is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jakub Mensik (May 27).
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