ATP 250 · Finals · Estoril
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Tiafoe
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,477 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Frances Tiafoe here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 14–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.33 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | -26.9% | +19.1% |
| Units P/L | -4.04u | +3.63u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Baez
0
Tiafoe
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Tiafoe's 50%).
| Opponent | Baez | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 61 | L 46 67 |
| Jaime Faria | L 57 16 | W 46 67 76 61 62 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 76 62 | L 67 67 |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | W 64 62 | W 64 63 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 64 63 | W 67 63 62 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 76 | W 64 62 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 | W 76 46 76 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 06 | L 36 26 |
| Ben Shelton | W 75 63 | L 67 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 36 46 | L 64 46 36 57 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Baez | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.5% | 62.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.3% | 71.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.2% | 53.6% |
| Aces / Match | 2.1 | 7.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 62.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37% | 26.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.9% | 50.2% |
| BP Converted % | 54% | 38.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 13.3 | 26.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.5 | 29.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 55.7% | 73.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.3% | 49.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 64% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Sebastian Baez and Frances Tiafoe face off in the Finals at Estoril on Clay.
Sebastian Baez leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Sebastian Baez is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Molcan (Jun 7).
Frances Tiafoe is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Taylor Fritz (Jun 21).
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