ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 64 · Montevideo
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Arias
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 57% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,775 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Sebastian Baez here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.33 | 4.68 |
| ROI % | -26.9% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.04u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Baez
0
Arias
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Baez | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.5% | 58.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.3% | 56.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.2% | 42.9% |
| Aces / Match | 2.1 | 2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.6 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 50% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37% | 24.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.9% | 33.3% |
| BP Converted % | 54% | 66.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 13.3 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.5 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 55.7% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.3% | 40.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Dan Martin
Tallahassee Tennis Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 12
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
LA OPEN · Round of 32
Mar 12
Enzo Camargo Lima
LA OPEN · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Federico Gaston Gonzalez Benitez
Munich Ultra Paraguay Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 1
Juan Manuel La Serna
Itajai Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 19
Matchup overview
Sebastian Baez and Boris Arias face off in the Round of 64 at Montevideo on Clay.
Sebastian Baez leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Sebastian Baez is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Molcan (Jun 7).
Boris Arias is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Dan Martin (Apr 12).
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