ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Abruzzo Open Francavilla al Mare
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Seggerman
💥 Big Hitter
Clarke
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Ryan Seggerman here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Seggerman | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 11–9 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | +100.3% | +2.1% |
| Units P/L | +13.04u | +0.42u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Seggerman
0
Clarke
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Seggerman and Clarke posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Seggerman | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Maks Kasnikowski | L 36 67 | W 76 64 |
| Matteo Martineau | W 64 75 | L 64 16 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Seggerman | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.9% | 57.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 72.3% | 68.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.7% | 47.2% |
| Aces / Match | 7.1 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.2 | 3.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.6% | 60.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.7% | 35% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.9% | 53.9% |
| BP Converted % | 24.5% | 48.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 36 | 25.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 44.5 | 35.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 70.2% | 55.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50% | 51% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 69% | 53% |
Last five matches per player
Luca Wiedenmann
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 16
Laslo Djere
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 16
Jun 11
Marko Topo
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Miguel Tobon
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Maks Kasnikowski
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
August Holmgren
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Daniel Masur
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Christopher O'Connell
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Tristan Boyer
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Iannis Miletich
M25 Caltanissetta · Round of 32
Jun 1
Match summary
Ryan Seggerman meets Jay Clarke in the quarterfinals of the Abruzzo Open Francavilla al Mare on May 8, 2026. The outdoor clay court will host a first meeting between the two players, with Clarke ranked 207th and Seggerman at 1046th.
Seggerman arrives with sharp momentum, winning four straight matches and taking 4 of his last 5 outings. Clarke has won 2 straight but shows mixed recent form, with a 3-7 record over his last 10. Clarke leads on clay overall, posting a 55% win rate in recent matches on the surface compared to Seggerman's 45%. The two have split results against common opponents Matteo Martineau and Adrian Boitan.
Seggerman plays an aggressive baseline game built on power and heavy hitting. Clarke operates as a defensive baseline player who constructs points through consistency and movement. On clay, Clarke's retrieval and patience have served him well; Seggerman will need to shorten points and press his tempo to avoid extended rallies where Clarke's court positioning takes hold. Clarke must weather Seggerman's early aggression while staying composed during the stretches when his opponent finds rhythm.
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