Grand Slam · Round of 128 · US Open
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baena
🧱 The Wall
Paul
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 63% vs 🧱 The Wall across 366 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Tommy Paul here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baena | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 1.57 |
| ROI % | -18.1% | +3.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.36u | +0.49u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Baena
1
Paul
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Baena's 25%).
| Opponent | Baena | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 26 67 | W 26 63 63 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 46 36 | W 75 46 76 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 76 26 61 | L 61 57 46 57 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 57 67 | W 64 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Baena | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 67.6% | 64.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 62.1% | 69% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.1% | 50% |
| Aces / Match | 2.7 | 4.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 47.1% | 46.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 34.3% | 32.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.7% | 51.5% |
| BP Converted % | 42.9% | 39.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.1 | 24.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 33.3 | 33.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 63.7% | 75.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.1% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 100% |
Last five matches per player
Gianmarco Ferrari
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Round of 16
Jun 10
Max Hans Rehberg
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 10
Andrea Pellegrino
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 16
Jun 4
Lorenzo Carboni
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 2
Lautaro Midon
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Matchup overview
Roberto Carballes Baena and Tommy Paul face off in the Round of 128 at US Open on Hard.
Roberto Carballes Baena leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Roberto Carballes Baena is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Gianmarco Ferrari (Jun 10).
Tommy Paul is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 29).
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