ATP 250 · 1st Round Qualifying · Almaty
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hijikata
💥 Big Hitter
Paul
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,566 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Rinky Hijikata here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hijikata | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–8 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.28 | 2.25 |
| ROI % | +19.5% | -37.6% |
| Units P/L | +3.90u | -3.01u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Hijikata
0
Paul
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hijikata | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 90% | 18/20 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 85% | 17/20 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 11/20 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 4/20 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Hijikata and Paul posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Hijikata | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Blaise Bicknell | W 64 57 62 | W 63 46 60 |
| Benjamin Hassan | W 64 76 | W 63 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Hijikata | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.6% | 64.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.7% | 69.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.3% | 49.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5.9 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.2 | 1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 61.7% | 46.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.9% | 31.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.7% | 50.6% |
| BP Converted % | 41.2% | 31.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.2 | 21.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 30.6 | 31.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 64.6% | 66% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.6% | 49.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 61% | 25% |
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 16
Apr 2
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 32
Mar 31
Adam Walton
Miami Open presented by Itau · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 17
Dane Sweeny
Miami Open presented by Itau · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 16
Cameron Norrie
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 16
Mar 11
Dusan Lajovic
Grand Prix Hassan II · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 29
Alexandre Muller
Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Mar 24
John Sperle
Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 23
Laurent Lokoli
Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 22
Laurent Lokoli
Open Saint-Brieuc Armor Agglomération · Round of 32
Feb 24
Matchup overview
Rinky Hijikata and Jakub Paul face off in the 1st Round Qualifying at Almaty on Hard.
Rinky Hijikata leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Rinky Hijikata is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Frances Tiafoe (Apr 2).
Jakub Paul is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Dusan Lajovic (Mar 29).
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