ITF M25 · Final · M25 Sapporo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tokuda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Uchida
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Kaichi Uchida here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tokuda | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 1–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.76 | 3.84 |
| ROI % | -60.3% | -83.1% |
| Units P/L | -4.22u | -7.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Tokuda
1
Uchida
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Uchida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Tokuda's 50%).
| Opponent | Tokuda | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Shunsuke Nakagawa | W | W 61 60 |
| Quinn Vandecasteele | L 76 57 26 | L 36 46 |
| Marat Sharipov | L 36 57 | L 16 26 |
| Hikaru Shiraishi | W 62 63 | W 64 63 |
| Alexandr Binda | W 57 63 63 | W 62 76 |
| Ryotaro Taguchi | W 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| August Holmgren | L 36 63 36 | L 67 75 26 |
| Yuta Shimizu | L 67 61 46 | W 61 62 |
| Oliver Crawford | L 67 63 26 | W 67 63 64 |
| Yusuke Takahashi | W 67 61 62 | W 46 63 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Tokuda | Uchida |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 67.4% | 55.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76% | 70.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 57.2% | 52.3% |
| Aces / Match | 4.5 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.6% | 39% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.7% | 26.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.4% | 42.8% |
| BP Converted % | 33.6% | 36.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19 | 14.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 45 | 29 |
| Net Pts Won % | 75% | 14.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 55% | 47.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 56% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Renta Tokuda and Kaichi Uchida face off in the Final at M25 Sapporo on Hard.
Renta Tokuda leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Renta Tokuda is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Shunsuke Nakagawa (Jun 18).
Kaichi Uchida is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Quinn Vandecasteele (Jun 14).
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