Reilly OpelkavsMurphy Cassone

July 21, 2025H Hard

Match Result

Final score & match stats

#102Reilly Opelka

7⁷6⁵6

#292Murphy Cassone[Q]

6⁴7⁷3

OpelkaCassone

1st Serve %56%56%

1st Serve Won87%82%

2nd Serve Won57%55%

Serve Pts Won74%70%

BP Saved3/44/6

Return Pts Won30%26%

Total Pts Won53%47%

Winners4626

Unforced Errors4134

Aces2311

Double Faults38

1st Serve Speed216 kph199 kph

2nd Serve Speed173 kph162 kph

Max Serve Speed234 kph209 kph

Archetype Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Opelka

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Cassone

⚙️ Grinder

Relentless consistencyDeep court positioningHigh rally toleranceMental fortitude

Matchup analysis

The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 5,334 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Reilly Opelka here.

Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Opelka	Cassone
W-L	0–1	1–3
Avg odds	2.56	1.70
ROI %	-100.0%	-58.3%
Units P/L	-1.00u	-2.33u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Head-to-Head

Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting

Opelka

Cassone

Jul 21, 2025

Washington

H Hard · Round of 64

7⁷6⁴

6⁵7⁷

Opelka

Full head-to-head & rivalry stats

Common Opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Opelka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Cassone's 0%).

Opponent	Opelka	Cassone
Sebastian Ofner	W 76 75	L 57 26
Mattia Bellucci	W 63 64	L 63 67 36

Mechanics

Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days

Stat	Opelka	Cassone
Serve
1st Serve In %	69.1%	63.2%
1st Serve Pts Won %	78.9%	71.4%
2nd Serve Pts Won %	50.4%	44.7%
Aces / Match	10.5	6
Double Faults / Match	5	3
Break Points Saved %	33.5%	47.3%
Return
1st Return Pts Won %	24%	24.1%
2nd Return Pts Won %	36.7%	37.6%
BP Converted %	10.8%	37.2%
Rally
Winners / Match	20	18.5
Unforced Errors / Match	25	35.8
Net Pts Won %	77.8%	88.9%
Total Pts Won %	49.9%	46.3%
Surface (Hard)
Hard Win %	0%	0%