ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Brisbane
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Arnaldi
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,524 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Reilly Opelka plays Matteo Arnaldi.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Opelka | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.56 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +47.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | +8.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Opelka
0
Arnaldi
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Opelka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Arnaldi's 38%).
| Opponent | Opelka | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | W 46 76 64 |
| Nuno Borges | W 67 62 76 | W 63 67 76 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 46 36 | W 26 63 62 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | L 36 46 |
| Alexander Shevchenko | W 63 75 76 | L 67 76 26 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 36 67 75 64 46 | L 46 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 67 63 | L 36 36 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | L 46 46 | L 76 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Opelka | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 69.1% | 61.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 78.9% | 64.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.4% | 49% |
| Aces / Match | 10.5 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 33.5% | 51.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 24% | 33.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 36.7% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 10.8% | 45.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20 | 24.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25 | 36.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 77.8% | 63.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.9% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 8
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Jack Draper
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 8
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 64
Mar 6
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Matchup overview
Reilly Opelka and Matteo Arnaldi face off in the Round of 16 at Brisbane on Hard.
Reilly Opelka leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Reilly Opelka is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Federico Cina (May 26).
Matteo Arnaldi is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Matteo Berrettini (Jun 3).
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