ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Moutet
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,086 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Reilly Opelka here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Opelka | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 6–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.78 | 3.20 |
| ROI % | +24.8% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.49u | -5.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Opelka
2
Moutet
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Moutet has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Opelka's 30%).
| Opponent | Opelka | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 36 67 75 64 46 | L 46 46 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | W 67 76 75 |
| Tomas Machac | W 76 67 63 | W 60 16 64 |
| Tommy Paul | L 46 46 | L 64 36 46 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 46 57 46 | L 26 46 16 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 63 64 | W 76 46 63 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 57 16 | W 76 64 |
| Alexander Shevchenko | W 63 75 76 | W 75 63 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 36 | L 64 46 46 |
| Francisco Comesana | L 76 46 57 | W 64 64 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Opelka | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.9% | 66.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 85% | 69.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 60.4% | 48.7% |
| Aces / Match | 14.3 | 3.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 24.5% | 54.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 20.6% | 37.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.8% | 51.1% |
| BP Converted % | 27.7% | 50.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 31 | 24.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 23.7 | 24 |
| Net Pts Won % | 77.6% | 64% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.4% | 52.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 60% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 128
Mar 19
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 64
Mar 6
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 9
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Daniel Merida
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 25
Lorenzo Musetti
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 16
Ignacio Buse
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 13
Matchup overview
Reilly Opelka and Corentin Moutet face off in the Round of 64 at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati on Hard.
Reilly Opelka leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Reilly Opelka is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ethan Quinn (Apr 13).
Corentin Moutet is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (May 9).
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