ITF M25 · Round of 16 · M25 Vale do Lobo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Luque
⚔️ The Gladiator
Elias
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Rafael Izquierdo Luque and Gastao Elias are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 5,050 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Luque | Elias |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 4.87 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | -18.2% | -66.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.91u | -1.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Luque
1
Elias
Feb 9, 2026
M25 Vila Real de Santo António
H Hard · Round of 32
Nov 10, 2025
M25 Vale do Lobo
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Elias has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Luque's 38%).
| Opponent | Luque | Elias |
|---|---|---|
| Joao Domingues | L | L 67 36 |
| Henry Searle | L 16 26 | W 63 75 |
| Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | L 67 67 | W 64 64 |
| Tiago Cacao | W 62 46 61 | W 64 64 |
| Tomas Luis | W 61 57 75 | W 61 63 |
| Lucas Poullain | W 76 36 61 | W 75 67 60 |
| Alec Deckers | L 57 76 67 | W 62 62 |
| Pedro Araujo | L 57 26 | W 62 57 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Luque | Elias |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 69.1% | 55.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.1% | 73.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.4% | 58.3% |
| Aces / Match | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.3% | 48% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 38% | 31.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.9% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 40.5% | 38% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.5% | 52.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 70% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Rafael Izquierdo Luque and Gastao Elias face off in the Round of 16 at M25 Vale do Lobo on Hard.
Rafael Izquierdo Luque leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Rafael Izquierdo Luque is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Joao Domingues (Jun 13).
Gastao Elias is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Joao Domingues (May 4).
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