ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Challenger Città di Lugano
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nesterov
🪃 Counterpuncher
Cassone
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Murphy Cassone here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nesterov | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 1–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +40.1% | -72.2% |
| Units P/L | +6.01u | -4.33u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Nesterov
0
Cassone
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nesterov | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65% | 63.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.9% | 71.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.4% | 44.7% |
| Aces / Match | 4 | 6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.3 | 3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.2% | 47.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39.7% | 24.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.5% | 37.6% |
| BP Converted % | 51.9% | 37.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.3 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 20 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 79.3% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.4% | 46.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 70% | 25% |
Last five matches per player
Ethan Quinn
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · Round of 16
Jun 24
Alex Molcan
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Filippo Romano
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Yuta Shimizu
Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship · Round of 16
Jun 4
Daniel Milavsky
Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship · Round of 32
Jun 3
Matchup overview
Petr Nesterov and Murphy Cassone face off in the Round of 32 at Challenger Città di Lugano on Hard.
Petr Nesterov leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Petr Nesterov is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Tommaso Compagnucci (Jun 25).
Murphy Cassone is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ethan Quinn (Jun 24).
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