ITF M25 · Round of 16 · M25 Heraklion
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nesterov
🪃 Counterpuncher
Potenza
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 57% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,775 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Petr Nesterov here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nesterov | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +35.5% | -17.3% |
| Units P/L | +5.33u | -2.42u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Nesterov
0
Potenza
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nesterov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Potenza's 29%).
| Opponent | Nesterov | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Fausto Tabacco | L | L |
| Gabriele Piraino | L 63 36 67 | W 63 46 64 |
| Manas Dhamne | W 60 36 64 | W 76 64 |
| Enrico Dalla Valle | W 63 61 | L 67 46 |
| Kasra Rahmani | W 63 26 62 | L 36 36 |
| Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | W 62 76 | L 36 57 |
| Petr Brunclik | L 36 63 46 | L 46 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Nesterov | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65% | 59.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.9% | 62.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.4% | 51.7% |
| Aces / Match | 4 | 2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.3 | 2.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.2% | 56.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39.7% | 30.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.5% | 50.6% |
| BP Converted % | 51.9% | 44.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25.3 | 9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 20 | 39 |
| Net Pts Won % | 79.3% | 100% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.4% | 48.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 70% | 40% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Petr Nesterov and Luca Potenza face off in the Round of 16 at M25 Heraklion on Hard.
Petr Nesterov leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Petr Nesterov is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Fausto Tabacco (Jun 18).
Luca Potenza is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Kaito Uesugi (Jun 22).
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