ATP Challenger Tour · Finals · San Marino
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kotov
🎯 Baseliner
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,419 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Pavel Kotov here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kotov | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | +49.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.74u | +9.48u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Kotov
0
Arnaldi
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Kotov and Arnaldi posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Kotov | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie McDonald | L 57 26 | L 06 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kotov | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.2% | 61.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.5% | 64.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49% | 49% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.7% | 51.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.1% | 33.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.9% | 52.5% |
| BP Converted % | 45.7% | 45.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26 | 25 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 43 | 35 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.2% | 60.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.5% | 49.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 25% | 68% |
Last five matches per player
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Round of 32
Jun 23
Toby Samuel
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Alastair Gray
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Matchup overview
Pavel Kotov and Matteo Arnaldi face off in the Finals at San Marino on Clay.
Pavel Kotov leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Pavel Kotov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Leo Raquillet (Jun 11).
Matteo Arnaldi is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Giles Hussey (Jun 23).
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