ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 64 · Recanati
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kotov
🎯 Baseliner
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,829 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Pavel Kotov here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kotov | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | 1.19 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -17.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.74u | -0.52u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Kotov
1
Varillas
Jul 18, 2022
Gstaad
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 2, 2019
Recanati
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kotov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Varillas's 0%).
| Opponent | Kotov | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Zdenek Kolar | W 64 63 | L 67 76 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kotov | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.2% | 53.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.5% | 67.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49% | 43.2% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.7% | 54.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.1% | 26% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.9% | 51.3% |
| BP Converted % | 45.7% | 34.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26 | 4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 43 | 30 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.2% | 50% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.5% | 47.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Ryan Dickerson
Santos Brasil Tennis Cup · Round of 32
May 6
Lautaro Midon
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Gonzalo Villanueva
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 16
Apr 9
Victor Braga
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 32
Apr 8
Facundo Diaz Acosta
São Léo Open de Tênis · Round of 16
Apr 2
Matchup overview
Pavel Kotov and Juan Pablo Varillas face off in the Round of 64 at Recanati on Hard.
Pavel Kotov leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Pavel Kotov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Leo Raquillet (Jun 11).
Juan Pablo Varillas is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ryan Dickerson (May 6).
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